Lunar New Year is Coming, Shipping Times May Vary

With one holiday period coming to a close, another looms on the horizon: Lunar New Year. That means three things in my mind: nice weather, a beautiful holiday with great food, and that I had better get all my orders for electronic parts for the next few months out immediately. In fact, I should have done it last month but I’m a bit closer to the source than many of you are.

In any case, Lunar New Year affects our ability to order neat gadgets at a time of year when some of us have received a little money to spend. So I thought I’d take a moment away from hacking to share with you how important this holiday is to much of the world so we can manage our expectations for quick global shipping accordingly.

Holiday Time: Comparing East and West

The Christmas through New Year period in the West spans about a week, and businesses are typically only completely closed for a few days, even if many employees take some of their accrued holiday time around then. It’s also always on a fixed Gregorian calendar date, which is convenient as it’s the calendar used by businesses in most (but not all) of the world.

On the other hand, it’s common for businesses to completely shut down for two weeks during new year celebrations in Asia, and some factories can easily be closed for a month. It’s expected (but not required) that employees receive an extra month’s pay at this time, as well as take all of their holidays in one block to go and visit their family.

So imagine that’s you. You’ve got one big holiday a year, an extra month’s salary, and you haven’t seen most or all of your family for some time. There’s also a huge rush to finish everything before the holiday, an epic journey home, and a bit of a mess recovering from it all afterwards. It’s every holiday we have in the West rolled into two weeks. Most people I know speak about it with simultaneous joy and stress, but the bottom line is that it’s very important to a lot of people.

Also the decorations involve glorious amounts of LEDs

The new year itself occurs on different dates depending on the specific country. There are two broad groups of new year periods in Asia: the ones originating from the Chinese calendar, and the ones based on the Theravada Buddhist calendar.

Lunar New Year (The Big One)

In 2018 Lunar New Year falls on February 16, with companies closing a little earlier and opening later to allow their staff to make the journey to their hometowns and back. This takes up to a week each way, not so much because of transit times, but because the demand for transportation is somewhere around 50x the capacity. This forces many travelers to leave early, return late, or make trips with odd stopovers. It also represents the largest annual human migration, and the scale is staggering. In 2017 it represented about 3 billion trips — in China alone. About 83% of these will be by land (often bus or train), and you need to secure your tickets at least 3 months in advance to avoid issues (e.g. scalpers). While times are changing, in the past large cities like Shenzhen simply became ghost towns.

Train station prior to Lunar New Year. Source: Forbes Magazine.

On top of all that, Lunar New Year is a pretty common time to switch jobs, so your supplier may have a labor shortage on top of work to catch up on after the holidays. In other words, if your order doesn’t clear China by Feb 1 this year, then you might wait a while.

In Vietnam, where I live, the process is similar (although the transit system seems less overburdened). I’ve never seen people leave work a full week in advance of the holiday, although a few days seems typical. Ho Chi Minh City empties out, and business grinds to a halt for a bit over a week.

If you’re planning to travel to the area, this is actually not a good time unless you are visiting family and friends. That goes double if you’re planning to check out the electronics markets, although if you catch the tail end of the holiday you might be alright. I did this in Shanghai one year and while some things were closed it was still great.

Theravada Buddhist New Year

Many people know this as ‘Thai New Year’ (Songkran), and it occurs yearly on April 13. Several other countries in Southeast Asia also hold their new year holiday at this time although in some areas the date can vary by a day. Overall this holiday is less likely to disrupt anything you’re ordering online, but it can come up so it’s worth remembering.

Holiday Wishes

If you have regular suppliers in Asia (e.g. not just DX or AliExpress), be sure to wish them a happy new year, even just with an email. The way to do this varies by country and Wikipedia will help you find the correct thing to say. If you’re nearby, there are some types of gifts given between clients and suppliers this time of year. If you wish to give one or if you receive one and are unfamiliar with the traditions that surround it, you’ll want to look that up as well.

For those of you celebrating Lunar New Year, we wish you security, good health, and prosperity.

27 thoughts on “Lunar New Year is Coming, Shipping Times May Vary

  1. I was in China twice during New Year celebrations, it didn’t cause much disruption (except for long train journeys !) but the fireworks were awesome, not so much the lights in the sky but the continuous, city-wide, very loud noise from early evening to late at night.
    Also, the lunar calendar is cool – the 15th of every month is a full moon yet the overall calendar manages to reliably track the Earths orbit around the Sun.

  2. I think some places like Shenzhen empty out because they are very young cities. Not long ago there were a few villages looking out at Hong Kong where Shenzhen sits. People’s families and home cities and villages are elsewhere. Also, Chinese (Mandarin) is spoken a lot in Shenzhen despite being in the heart of Cantonese country. I have supposed it is because everyone learns Chinese in school. Just up the river is Guangzhou, which used to be called Canton and surprise, they speak Cantonese.

    There are other holidays in China that can put a kink in your supply chain if you don’t plan. For example, near the end of June this year the Dragon Boat Festival will absorb about a week, depending on who you are dealing with.

    Gong Hey Fat Choy

    1. “I have supposed it is because everyone learns Chinese in school. ”
      Insert “Mandarin” before the word “Chinese”, Cantonese is also “Chinese”.
      FTFY
      B^)
      Mandarin is the official dialect of China, English is the second.

  3. Have two orders from Dec. 5’th and 18’th from Aliexpress. Neither have had any tracking information updated since Dec. 26’th! Suppose my packages lay in some deserted unheated warehouse with tire marks all over?

    1. It’;s too early for issues to appear. You should get the tracking numbers and use something like 17track.net to see progress in a readable way. If those tracking numbers are China-specific, then they’re basically no use. Either way, there’s some amount of time after which you can request a refund from the seller – website-specific.

      Also, this is probably not the right place to complain about it =)

    2. I’m still waiting for two packages i ordered 19/11. I hope they will finally arrive and really quick, i’m running out of zip ties… The question is: Will they arrive or have they been lost (and so i should place a new order)?

  4. So what you are saying is that our undeserved virtual Santa Clause machine with free shipping will be a little wonky.
    When I was a kid I made an effing US quarter every week for mowing a 3/4 acre yard(~3000 square meters) with a push mower.
    It took me weeks to save up for just a package of Radio Shack resistors or LEDs and as a kid I never had the cash for a microprocessor of any kind.
    What I am saying is that this that I appreciate the heads up but that the annual break serves as a reminder that we are in historically unusual times where we can actually afford to horde these inexpensive free shipped things from Asia, it probably hasn’t been so cheap, if you had some cash, since the industrial revolution in England.
    Internet worldwide catalog, price competition by people with few kids trying to save for their own affluent retirement, and free shipping too?! Unprecedented, even WW-II surplus was not so well organized and cataloged certainly not free to your house delivery.

  5. Hey Sean

    Are you still in Sai Gon? I am starting a Vlog for Vietnamese people here and would like to talk with you about the coffee here. Would you be open to get in touch about it?

    Cheers Till Carlos (everywhere with that name)

Leave a Reply to Miroslav Cancel reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.